Q.If $P(A) = \frac{6}{11}$, $P(B) = \frac{5}{11}$ and $P(A \cup B) = \frac{7}{11}$, find

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1. AP EAPCET 2021Set eng-2021-08-23-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.Let $A$ and $B$ be two events with $P(A) = \dfrac{1}{7}$, $P(A/B) = \dfrac{2}{5}$ and $P(B) = \dfrac{2}{7}$. Then the value $P(B/A)$ is (A) $\dfrac{1}{5}$ (B) $\dfrac{5}{49}$ (C) $\dfrac{4}{5}$ (D) $\dfrac{3}{5}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   Chain the conditional-probability definition twice: first get $P(A\cap B)$ from $P(A/B)$, then get $P(B/A)$ from that.

   Concept and Intuition

   Conditional probability is defined as $P(E/F)=\dfrac{P(E\cap F)}{P(F)}$. Given one conditional probability, we can back out the joint probability $P(A\cap B)$, and then use it (with the definition again, but conditioning the other way) to find the other conditional probability.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. $P(A/B) = \dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)} \Rightarrow P(A\cap B) = P(A/B)\cdot P(B) = \dfrac{2}{5}\times\dfrac{2}{7} = \dfrac{4}{35}$.
   2. Now use $P(B/A) = \dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)} = \dfrac{4/35}{1/7}$. …

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2. AP EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-18-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.Two balls are drawn at random from a box containing 4 white, 6 black balls one after the other without replacement. If it is known that second ball drawn is black, then the probability that the first ball drawn is also black is (A) $\dfrac{5}{11}$ (B) $\dfrac{5}{9}$ (C) $\dfrac{5}{12}$ (D) $\dfrac{5}{13}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   Conditional probability with sampling without replacement, solved with Bayes' theorem; answer is $\frac{5}{9}$.

   Concept and Intuition

   When balls are drawn one after another without replacement, the marginal probability that any particular draw (say the 2nd) is black equals the overall proportion of black balls, $\frac{6}{10}$ — position doesn't matter for the marginal event by symmetry. To find the conditional probability of the first draw given information about the second, we use Bayes' theorem: we need the joint probability of both events and divide by the marginal probability of the conditioning event.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. Total balls: 4 white (W) + 6 black (B) = 10.
   2. $P(\text{2nd is black}) = P(\text{1st B, 2nd B}) + P(\text{1st W, 2nd B})$ $= \frac{6}{10}\cdot\frac{5}{9} + \frac{4}{10}\cdot\frac{6}{9} = \frac{30}{90}+\frac{24}{90} = \frac{54}{90} = \frac{3}{5}$.
   3. $P(\text{1st black and 2nd black}) = \frac{6}{10}\cdot\frac{5}{9} = \frac{30}{90} = \frac{1}{3}$. …

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3. AP EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-16-AN1 markMCQ
   Q.Two dice are rolled. If A denote the event that the same number shows on each die and B denote the event that the sum of the numbers on both dice is greater than 7, then $P(A|B)$ and $P(B|A)$ respectively are (A) $\dfrac{2}{5}, \dfrac{1}{4}$ (B) $\dfrac{1}{5}, \dfrac{1}{2}$ (C) $\dfrac{1}{5}, \dfrac{1}{4}$ (D) $\dfrac{1}{2}, \dfrac{3}{5}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   Counting the 36 equally likely dice outcomes directly gives $P(A|B)=\frac15$ and $P(B|A)=\frac12$.

   Concept and Intuition

   With two fair dice there are $36$ equally likely outcomes, so every probability here reduces to simple counting: enumerate the outcomes in $A$, in $B$, and in $A\cap B$, then apply the conditional probability formula $P(X|Y)=\dfrac{P(X\cap Y)}{P(Y)}$ directly as a ratio of counts.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. $A$ = "same number on each die": outcomes $(1,1),(2,2),(3,3),(4,4),(5,5),(6,6)$ — $6$ outcomes, so $P(A)=\dfrac6{36}$.
   2. $B$ = "sum $>7$", i.e. sum $\in\{8,9,10,11,12\}$. Counting pairs per sum: sum 8 has 5 pairs, 9 has 4, 10 has 3, 11 has 2, 12 has 1 — total $5+4+3+2+1=15$ outcomes, so $P(B)=\dfrac{15}{36}$.
   3. $A\cap B$: doubles with sum $>7$ — check each double: $(4,4)$ sum 8 ✓, $(5,5)$ sum 10 ✓, $(6,6)$ sum 12 ✓; $(1,1),(2,2),(3,3)$ have sums $2,4,6$, all $\le7$ — excluded. So $A\cap B$ has $3$ outcomes, $P(A\cap B)=\dfrac3{36}$. …

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4. AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-20-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.A, B, C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events of a random experiment and E is an event that occurs in conjunction with one of the events A, B, C. The conditional Probabilities of E given the happening of A, B, C are respectively 0.6, 0.3 and 0.1. If $P(A) = 0.30$ and $P(B) = 0.50$, then $P(C|E) =$ (A) $\dfrac{2}{35}$ (B) $\dfrac{15}{35}$ (C) $\dfrac{18}{35}$ (D) $\dfrac{17}{35}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   This is a direct Bayes' theorem application over three mutually exclusive, exhaustive causes; $P(C|E)=2/35$.

   Concept and Intuition

   When an event $E$ can occur alongside any of several mutually exclusive, exhaustive causes $A,B,C$, Bayes' theorem lets us find the probability of a particular cause given that $E$ has occurred, by weighing each cause's prior probability by how likely $E$ is under it, then normalizing.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. Since $A,B,C$ are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, $P(C)=1-P(A)-P(B)=1-0.30-0.50=0.20$.
   2. Total probability of $E$: $P(E)=P(E|A)P(A)+P(E|B)P(B)+P(E|C)P(C)$ $=0.6(0.30)+0.3(0.50)+0.1(0.20)=0.18+0.15+0.02=0.35$ …

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5. AP EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-06-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.If E and F are events such that $P(\bar{F}) = 0.7$ and $P(E \cap F) = 0.2$, then $P(E|F)$ is (A) $2/3$ (B) $1/3$ (C) $3/4$ (D) $1/4$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   This tests the basic conditional-probability formula together with the complement rule. $P(E|F)=2/3$.

   Concept and Intuition

   $P(E|F)$ asks: given that $F$ has already happened, what fraction of that reduced sample space does $E\cap F$ occupy? It is always $\dfrac{P(E\cap F)}{P(F)}$, so first we need $P(F)$ itself, which is given indirectly through its complement.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. $P(\bar F) = 0.7 \Rightarrow P(F) = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3$.
   2. $P(E\cap F) = 0.2$ is given directly. …

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6. AP EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-05-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.If A and B are two events such that $P(B) \neq 0$ and $P(B) \neq 1$, then $P(\bar{A}|\bar{B})$ is (A) $1-P(A|B)$ (B) $1-P(\bar{A}|B)$ (C) $\frac{1-P(A\cup B)}{P(\bar{B})}$ (D) $\frac{P(\bar{A})}{P(\bar{B})}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   Directly apply the definition of conditional probability together with De Morgan's law; the answer is $\frac{1-P(A\cup B)}{P(\bar B)}$.

   Concept and Intuition

   Conditional probability is defined as $P(X|Y)=\dfrac{P(X\cap Y)}{P(Y)}$. Here $X=\bar A$, $Y=\bar B$. By De Morgan's law, $\bar A\cap\bar B = \overline{A\cup B}$, so its probability is $1-P(A\cup B)$.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. $P(\bar A|\bar B)=\dfrac{P(\bar A\cap\bar B)}{P(\bar B)}$.
   2. $\bar A\cap\bar B=\overline{A\cup B}$ (De Morgan).
   3. So $P(\bar A\cap\bar B)=1-P(A\cup B)$. …

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7. AP EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-12-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.In a college, the heights of 4% of male and 1% of female students are more than 1.8 meters. If 60% of the total students are female and a student selected at random has height more than 1.8 meters, then the probability that this student is a female, is (A) $\dfrac{8}{11}$ (B) $\dfrac{6}{11}$ (C) $\dfrac{5}{11}$ (D) $\dfrac{3}{11}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   A direct application of Bayes' theorem: given the height is above 1.8m, find the probability the student is female.

   Concept and Intuition

   This is the classic "reverse conditional probability" setup — we know $P(\text{tall}\mid\text{gender})$ for each gender and the gender proportions, and want $P(\text{gender}\mid\text{tall})$. Bayes' theorem converts one direction of conditioning into the other by weighting each gender's tall-probability by its population share and normalizing.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. Let $M$ = male, $F$ = female, $H$ = height $>1.8$m. Given: $P(F)=0.6$, $P(M)=0.4$, $P(H\mid M)=0.04$, $P(H\mid F)=0.01$.
   2. Total probability of height $>1.8$m: $P(H)=P(M)P(H\mid M)+P(F)P(H\mid F)=0.4(0.04)+0.6(0.01)=0.016+0.006=0.022$. …

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8. AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-26-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.If two events A and B are such that $P(\bar A)=0.3$, $P(B)=0.4$ and $P(A\cap\bar B)=0.5$, then $P(B/(A\cup\bar B))=$ (A) 0.25 (B) 0.6 (C) 0.45 (D) 0.8

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   This tests careful set manipulation of conditional probability with a compound conditioning event $A\cup\bar B$. Answer: 0.25.

   Concept and Intuition

   Conditional probability $P(B\mid E) = \dfrac{P(B\cap E)}{P(E)}$ works exactly the same way when $E$ is a compound event like $A\cup\bar B$ — we just need to correctly compute $P(E)$ and $P(B\cap E)$ using set algebra (distributing intersection over union, and using the fact that $B$ and $\bar B$ are disjoint).

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. From $P(\bar A)=0.3$, get $P(A)=1-0.3=0.7$.
   2. $P(A\cap\bar B)=0.5$ is given directly, so $P(A\cap B)=P(A)-P(A\cap\bar B)=0.7-0.5=0.2$.
   3. Compute $P(A\cup\bar B)$ using inclusion-exclusion: $P(A\cup\bar B)=P(A)+P(\bar B)-P(A\cap\bar B)$. Here $P(\bar B)=1-0.4=0.6$, so $P(A\cup\bar B)=0.7+0.6-0.5=0.8$. …

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9. AP EAPCET 2021Set eng-2021-08-24-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.If $A$ and $B$ are mutually exclusive events with $P(A) = \dfrac{1}{4}$ and $P(B) = \dfrac{3}{7}$. Then what is the value of $P(A / A \cup B) =$ (A) $\dfrac{7}{19}$ (B) $\dfrac{12}{19}$ (C) $\dfrac{06}{19}$ (D) $\dfrac{13}{19}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   Mutually exclusive events make $P(A\cup B)$ a simple sum, and since $A$ is entirely contained in $A\cup B$, the conditional probability reduces to $P(A)/P(A\cup B)$.

   Concept and Intuition

   For mutually exclusive $A,B$: $P(A\cap B)=0$, so $P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)$. Also $A\cap(A\cup B)=A$ always, so $P(A\mid A\cup B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap(A\cup B))}{P(A\cup B)}=\dfrac{P(A)}{P(A\cup B)}$.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. $P(A\cup B) = P(A)+P(B) = \dfrac14+\dfrac37$.
   2. Common denominator 28: $\dfrac{7}{28}+\dfrac{12}{28}=\dfrac{19}{28}$. …

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10. AP EAPCET 2021Set eng-2021-08-25-AN1 markMCQ
    Q.Given $P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.4, P(A \cap B) = 0.3$ then $P(A'/B')$ is equal to (A) $\dfrac{1}{3}$ (B) $\dfrac{1}{2}$ (C) $\dfrac{2}{3}$ (D) $\dfrac{3}{4}$

    ›Reveal solutionSolution

    Using De Morgan's law $A'\cap B'=(A\cup B)'$ and the conditional probability formula gives $P(A'|B')=\dfrac23$.

    Concept and Intuition

    $P(A'|B')$ asks: given we're outside $B$, what's the chance we're also outside $A$? The key trick is that $A'\cap B' = (A\cup B)'$ (De Morgan), which is easy to compute from $P(A\cup B)$.

    Step-by-Step Solution

    1. $P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)=0.5+0.4-0.3=0.6$.
    2. $P(A'\cap B')=P((A\cup B)')=1-P(A\cup B)=1-0.6=0.4$.
    3. $P(B')=1-P(B)=1-0.4=0.6$. …

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11. AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-23-FN1 markMCQ
    Q.It is given that in a random experiment events A and B are such that $P(A) = \dfrac{1}{4}$, $P(A|B) = \dfrac{1}{2}$ and $P(B|A) = \dfrac{2}{3}$ then $P(B) =$ (A) $\dfrac{1}{3}$ (B) $\dfrac{2}{3}$ (C) $\dfrac{1}{2}$ (D) $\dfrac{1}{6}$

    ›Reveal solutionSolution

    Using $P(B|A)$ to find $P(A\cap B)$, then dividing by $P(A|B)$, gives $P(B)=\dfrac13$.

    Concept and Intuition

    The conditional probability definitions $P(A|B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}$ and $P(B|A)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}$ share the common quantity $P(A\cap B)$ — computing it from one equation lets us solve the other for the unknown probability.

    Step-by-Step Solution

    1. From $P(B|A)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}=\dfrac23$, and $P(A)=\dfrac14$: $P(A\cap B)=\dfrac23\times\dfrac14=\dfrac16$.
    2. From $P(A|B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\dfrac12$: $P(B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A|B)}=\dfrac{1/6}{1/2}=\dfrac13$.

    Common Mistakes …

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12. AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-20-FN1 markMCQ
    Q.$P(A|A\cap B) + P(B|A\cap B) =$ (A) $1$ (B) $P(A\cup B)$ (C) $P(A\cap B)$ (D) $2$

    ›Reveal solutionSolution

    Both conditional probabilities equal $1$ because $A\cap B$ is a subset of both $A$ and $B$, so their sum is $2$.

    Concept and Intuition

    Conditioning an event on its own subset (or superset relationship) often collapses to a probability of exactly $1$: if $E\subseteq F$, then $P(F|E)=1$, since knowing $E$ occurred guarantees $F$ occurred too.

    Step-by-Step Solution

    1. $P(A|A\cap B) = \dfrac{P\big(A\cap(A\cap B)\big)}{P(A\cap B)}$.
    2. Since $A\cap(A\cap B) = A\cap B$ (intersecting with $A$ again changes nothing, as $A\cap B\subseteq A$), this is $\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A\cap B)}=1$.
    3. Similarly, $P(B|A\cap B) = \dfrac{P\big(B\cap(A\cap B)\big)}{P(A\cap B)} = \dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A\cap B)}=1$.
    4. Sum $=1+1=2$. …

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