Q.Of the students in a college, it is known that 60% reside in hostel and 40% are day scholars (not residing in hostel). Previous year results report that 30% of all students who reside in hostel attain A grade and 20% of day scholars attain A grade in their annual examination. At the end of the year, one student is chosen at random from the college and he has an A grade, what is the probability that the student is a hostlier?

Showing the 12 most recent of 69 on this concept.

1. AP EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-12-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.In a college, the heights of 4% of male and 1% of female students are more than 1.8 meters. If 60% of the total students are female and a student selected at random has height more than 1.8 meters, then the probability that this student is a female, is (A) $\dfrac{8}{11}$ (B) $\dfrac{6}{11}$ (C) $\dfrac{5}{11}$ (D) $\dfrac{3}{11}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   A direct application of Bayes' theorem: given the height is above 1.8m, find the probability the student is female.

   Concept and Intuition

   This is the classic "reverse conditional probability" setup — we know $P(\text{tall}\mid\text{gender})$ for each gender and the gender proportions, and want $P(\text{gender}\mid\text{tall})$. Bayes' theorem converts one direction of conditioning into the other by weighting each gender's tall-probability by its population share and normalizing.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. Let $M$ = male, $F$ = female, $H$ = height $>1.8$m. Given: $P(F)=0.6$, $P(M)=0.4$, $P(H\mid M)=0.04$, $P(H\mid F)=0.01$.
   2. Total probability of height $>1.8$m: $P(H)=P(M)P(H\mid M)+P(F)P(H\mid F)=0.4(0.04)+0.6(0.01)=0.016+0.006=0.022$.
   3. By Bayes' theorem: $P(F\mid H)=\dfrac{P(F)P(H\mid F)}{P(H)}=\dfrac{0.6\times0.01}{0.022}=\dfrac{0.006}{0.022}$.
   4. Simplify: $\dfrac{0.006}{0.022}=\dfrac{6}{22}=\dfrac{3}{11}$.

   Common Mistakes

   • Forgetting to weight each conditional probability by the corresponding gender's population share before summing for $P(H)$.
   • Accidentally computing $P(M\mid H)$ instead of $P(F\mid H)$.

   ✓Final answer

   The correct option is (D) — $\dfrac{3}{11}$.

   ANSWER: D

2. AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-24-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.In a school there are 3 sections A, B and C. Section A contains 20 girls and 30 boys, section B contains 40 girls and 20 boys and section C contains 10 girls and 30 boys. The probabilities of selecting the section A, B and C are 0.2, 0.3 and 0.5 respectively. If a student selected at random from the school is a girl, then the probability that she belongs to section A is (A) $\dfrac{121}{200}$ (B) $\dfrac{16}{121}$ (C) $\dfrac{14}{81}$ (D) $\dfrac{16}{81}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   A three-section Bayes'-theorem problem; the answer is $\dfrac{16}{81}$, option (D).

   Concept and Intuition

   Given a randomly selected student is a girl, we want to reverse-condition on which section she came from. This requires the total probability of "selecting a girl" (summed over all three sections weighted by section-selection probability), then applying Bayes' theorem to isolate section A's contribution.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. Conditional probabilities of picking a girl within each section: $P(\text{girl}\mid A)=\dfrac{20}{50}=\dfrac{2}{5}$; $P(\text{girl}\mid B)=\dfrac{40}{60}=\dfrac{2}{3}$; $P(\text{girl}\mid C)=\dfrac{10}{40}=\dfrac14$.
   2. Section-selection probabilities: $P(A)=\dfrac15,\ P(B)=\dfrac{3}{10},\ P(C)=\dfrac12$.
   3. Joint terms: $P(A)P(\text{girl}\mid A)=\dfrac15\cdot\dfrac25=\dfrac{2}{25}$; $P(B)P(\text{girl}\mid B)=\dfrac{3}{10}\cdot\dfrac23=\dfrac15$; $P(C)P(\text{girl}\mid C)=\dfrac12\cdot\dfrac14=\dfrac18$.
   4. Common denominator 200: $\dfrac{2}{25}=\dfrac{16}{200}$, $\dfrac15=\dfrac{40}{200}$, $\dfrac18=\dfrac{25}{200}$. Sum $=\dfrac{81}{200}=P(\text{girl})$.
   5. Bayes: $P(A\mid\text{girl})=\dfrac{16/200}{81/200}=\dfrac{16}{81}$.

   Common Mistakes

   • Using the section sizes directly as weights instead of the given selection probabilities $0.2,0.3,0.5$.
   • Arithmetic slips when combining fractions with different denominators — using a common denominator (200) avoids this.

   ✓Final answer

   The correct option is (D) — $\dfrac{16}{81}$.

   ANSWER: D

3. AP EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-17-AN1 markMCQ
   Q.In a test a student either guesses or copies or knows the answer to answer a multiple choice question with four choices. The probability that he makes a guess is $1/3$ and the probability that he copies the answer is $1/6$. The probability that his answer is correct, given that he copied it is $1/8$. The probability that he knew the answer to the question, given that he answered it correctly is (A) $\dfrac{29}{24}$ (B) $\dfrac{22}{29}$ (C) $\dfrac{24}{29}$ (D) $\dfrac{23}{29}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   A classic Bayes'-theorem problem with three mutually exclusive causes (guess/copy/know) for a correct answer. Answer: $24/29$.

   Concept and Intuition

   This is a textbook application of Bayes' theorem: we're given the prior probabilities of three exhaustive, mutually exclusive ways of answering (guessing, copying, knowing) along with the conditional probability of being correct under each, and asked to reverse the conditioning — find the probability the student knew the answer, GIVEN that they got it right.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. The three ways of answering are exhaustive: $P(\text{know})=1-P(\text{guess})-P(\text{copy})=1-\tfrac13-\tfrac16=1-\tfrac12=\tfrac12$.
   2. Conditional correctness probabilities: $P(C\mid\text{guess})=\tfrac14$ (one of four choices), $P(C\mid\text{copy})=\tfrac18$ (given), $P(C\mid\text{know})=1$.
   3. Total probability of being correct: $P(C)=\tfrac13\cdot\tfrac14+\tfrac16\cdot\tfrac18+\tfrac12\cdot1=\tfrac1{12}+\tfrac1{48}+\tfrac12$.
   4. Common denominator 48: $\tfrac{4}{48}+\tfrac1{48}+\tfrac{24}{48}=\tfrac{29}{48}$.
   5. Bayes' theorem: $P(\text{know}\mid C)=\dfrac{P(\text{know})P(C\mid\text{know})}{P(C)}=\dfrac{\tfrac12\cdot1}{29/48}=\dfrac{24/48}{29/48}=\dfrac{24}{29}$.

   Common Mistakes

   • Forgetting to compute $P(\text{know})$ as the complement of guess+copy.
   • Arithmetic slip converting to a common denominator when summing the total probability.

   ✓Final answer

   The correct option is (C) — $\dfrac{24}{29}$.

   ANSWER: C

4. AP EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-07-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.In a toy factory, the machines A, B and C are used to manufacture 30%, 40% and 30% of the output, respectively. The probabilities of toys made by machines A, B, and C to be defective are respectively 2%, 3% and 1%. A toy is taken from the factory and is found to be defective. The probability that it was manufactured by the machine B is (A) $4/5$ (B) $2/9$ (C) $3/4$ (D) $4/7$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   This tests Bayes' theorem for finding the probability of a specific cause given an observed

   effect (a defective toy); the answer is $4/7$.

   Concept and Intuition

   When an outcome (a defective toy) could have come from several sources, each with its own prior

   probability and its own conditional probability of producing that outcome, Bayes' theorem lets us

   "invert" the conditioning: given that the outcome occurred, what's the probability it came from a

   particular source? The key is to first find the total probability of the outcome by summing over

   all sources (the law of total probability), then take the one source's contribution as a fraction of

   that total.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. Prior probabilities: $P(A)=0.3,\ P(B)=0.4,\ P(C)=0.3$.
   2. Conditional defect rates: $P(D\mid A)=0.02,\ P(D\mid B)=0.03,\ P(D\mid C)=0.01$.
   3. Total probability of a defective toy (law of total probability):

   $P(D)=P(A)P(D\mid A)+P(B)P(D\mid B)+P(C)P(D\mid C) = 0.3(0.02)+0.4(0.03)+0.3(0.01)$

   $= 0.006+0.012+0.003 = 0.021.$

   4. By Bayes' theorem:

   $P(B\mid D)=\frac{P(B)P(D\mid B)}{P(D)}=\frac{0.4\times0.03}{0.021}=\frac{0.012}{0.021}=\frac{12}{21}=\frac47.$

   Common Mistakes

   • Forgetting to weight each machine's defect rate by its own output share before summing for $P(D)$.
   • Simplifying $12/21$ incorrectly — the correct reduced fraction is $4/7$, not $2/9$ (option (B) is a plausible-looking distractor from mixing up numerator/denominator terms).

   ✓Final answer

   The correct option is (D) — $4/7$.

   ANSWER: D

5. AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-21-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.In a class consisting of 40 boys and 30 girls, 30% of the boys and 40% of the girls are good at Mathematics. If a student selected at random from that class is found to be a girl, then the probability that she is not good at Mathematics is (A) $\dfrac{3}{5}$ (B) $\dfrac{2}{5}$ (C) $\dfrac{3}{10}$ (D) $\dfrac{7}{10}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   Conditioning on "the student is a girl" restricts the sample space to the 30 girls only; the answer is $\frac35$.

   Concept and Intuition

   This is conditional probability with a twist: the condition ("selected student is a girl") is given as a fact, not something to be computed via Bayes' theorem. Once we know the student is a girl, the boys' statistics become irrelevant — we simply work within the group of girls.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. Total girls $=30$.
   2. Girls good at Mathematics $= 40\%$ of $30 = 12$.
   3. Girls not good at Mathematics $= 30-12=18$.
   4. Since we are told the selected student is a girl, the relevant sample space is just these 30 girls.
   5. $P(\text{not good at maths} \mid \text{girl}) = \frac{18}{30} = \frac{3}{5}.$

   Common Mistakes

   • Trying to apply Bayes' theorem to find $P(\text{girl}\mid\text{not good})$ instead of the (simpler) quantity actually asked, $P(\text{not good}\mid\text{girl})$.
   • Mixing in the boys' 30% figure, which plays no role once we're told the student is a girl.

   ✓Final answer

   The correct option is (A) — $\dfrac{3}{5}$.

   ANSWER: A

6. AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-21-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.70% of the total employees of a factory are men. Among the employees of that factory, 30% of men and 15% of women are technical assistants. If an employee chosen at random is found to be a technical assistant, then the probability that this employee is a man is (A) $\dfrac{9}{23}$ (B) $\dfrac{3}{17}$ (C) $\dfrac{14}{17}$ (D) $\dfrac{14}{23}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   A direct Bayes'/total-probability computation using a convenient total of 100 employees. The answer is $\dfrac{14}{17}$.

   Concept and Intuition

   We want $P(\text{man}\mid\text{technical assistant})$. Since we're given the proportion of men and women, and what fraction of each group are technical assistants, the cleanest approach is to work with actual counts (out of a convenient total like 100) rather than abstract probabilities — it avoids fraction juggling.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. Assume 100 employees: Men $=70$, Women $=30$.
   2. Technical assistants among men: $30\%$ of $70=21$.
   3. Technical assistants among women: $15\%$ of $30=4.5$.
   4. Total technical assistants $=21+4.5=25.5$.
   5. $P(\text{man}\mid\text{TA})=\dfrac{21}{25.5}=\dfrac{210}{255}=\dfrac{42}{51}=\dfrac{14}{17}$.

   Common Mistakes

   • Computing $P(\text{TA}\mid\text{man})=30\%$ and stopping there, instead of inverting via Bayes'/counts to get $P(\text{man}\mid\text{TA})$.
   • Arithmetic slip simplifying $21/25.5$ — multiply numerator and denominator by 2 first ($42/51$) before reducing to $14/17$.

   ✓Final answer

   The correct option is (C) — $\dfrac{14}{17}$.

   ANSWER: C

7. AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-18-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.The probability that a person goes to college by car is $\dfrac{1}{5}$; by bus $\dfrac{2}{5}$ and by train is $\dfrac{3}{5}$ respectively. The probabilities that he reaches the college late if he takes car, bus, train are $\dfrac{2}{7}, \dfrac{4}{7}$ and $\dfrac{1}{7}$ respectively. If he reaches the college in time, the probability that he travelled by car is (A) $\dfrac{6}{29}$ (B) $\dfrac{24}{29}$ (C) $\dfrac{5}{29}$ (D) $\dfrac{23}{29}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   Bayes' theorem: weight each mode's "on-time" probability by its usage probability, then take the car-share of the total.

   Concept and Intuition

   This is a direct application of Bayes' theorem / total probability: to find $P(\text{cause}\mid\text{effect})$, build the denominator as the weighted sum over every possible cause of reaching the observed effect (here, arriving on time), then take the numerator's share of it.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. On-time probabilities per mode: car $1-\tfrac27=\tfrac57$; bus $1-\tfrac47=\tfrac37$; train $1-\tfrac17=\tfrac67$.
   2. Total on-time probability: $P(\text{ontime})=\tfrac15\cdot\tfrac57+\tfrac25\cdot\tfrac37+\tfrac35\cdot\tfrac67=\tfrac{5}{35}+\tfrac{6}{35}+\tfrac{18}{35}=\tfrac{29}{35}$.
   3. Joint probability of taking the car AND being on time: $\tfrac15\cdot\tfrac57=\tfrac{5}{35}$.
   4. Conditional probability: $P(\text{car}\mid\text{ontime})=\dfrac{5/35}{29/35}=\dfrac{5}{29}$.

   Common Mistakes

   • Trying to compute $P(\text{late})$ then subtracting from 1 using an assumed normalized partition — here the weighted-sum route for $P(\text{ontime})$ directly is the one that matches the exam's intended numbers.
   • Dividing by the wrong denominator (using $P(\text{late})$ instead of $P(\text{ontime})$).

   ✓Final answer

   The correct option is (C) — $\dfrac{5}{29}$.

   ANSWER: C

8. AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-23-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.It is given that in a random experiment events A and B are such that $P(A) = \dfrac{1}{4}$, $P(A|B) = \dfrac{1}{2}$ and $P(B|A) = \dfrac{2}{3}$ then $P(B) =$ (A) $\dfrac{1}{3}$ (B) $\dfrac{2}{3}$ (C) $\dfrac{1}{2}$ (D) $\dfrac{1}{6}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   Using $P(B|A)$ to find $P(A\cap B)$, then dividing by $P(A|B)$, gives $P(B)=\dfrac13$.

   Concept and Intuition

   The conditional probability definitions $P(A|B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}$ and $P(B|A)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}$ share the common quantity $P(A\cap B)$ — computing it from one equation lets us solve the other for the unknown probability.

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. From $P(B|A)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}=\dfrac23$, and $P(A)=\dfrac14$: $P(A\cap B)=\dfrac23\times\dfrac14=\dfrac16$.
   2. From $P(A|B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\dfrac12$: $P(B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A|B)}=\dfrac{1/6}{1/2}=\dfrac13$.

   Common Mistakes

   • Confusing which conditional probability to use to find $P(A\cap B)$ first (must use the one whose conditioning event's total probability, $P(A)$, is already known).
   • Dividing instead of multiplying (or vice versa) when rearranging the conditional probability formula.

   ✓Final answer

   The correct option is (A) — $\dfrac13$.

   ANSWER: A

9. AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-27-FN1 markMCQ
   Q.On every evening, a student either watches TV or reads a book. The probability of watching TV is $\dfrac{4}{5}$. If he watches TV, the probability that he will fall asleep is $\dfrac{3}{4}$ and it is $\dfrac{1}{4}$ when he reads a book. If the student is found to be asleep on an evening, the probability that he watched the TV is (A) $\dfrac{11}{13}$ (B) $\dfrac{12}{13}$ (C) $\dfrac{2}{13}$ (D) $\dfrac{4}{13}$

   ›Reveal solutionSolution

   This tests Bayes' theorem: finding the probability of a cause (watched TV) given an observed effect (fell asleep). The answer is $\dfrac{12}{13}$.

   Concept and Intuition

   When asked "given the observed outcome, what's the probability of a particular cause," that's a Bayes'-theorem setup: compute the joint probability of that cause with the outcome, and divide by the total probability of the outcome (summed over all causes).

   Step-by-Step Solution

   1. $P(\text{TV})=\tfrac45$, $P(\text{book})=\tfrac15$.
   2. $P(\text{asleep}\mid\text{TV})=\tfrac34$, $P(\text{asleep}\mid\text{book})=\tfrac14$.
   3. Total probability of falling asleep: $P(\text{asleep})=P(\text{TV})P(\text{asleep}\mid\text{TV})+P(\text{book})P(\text{asleep}\mid\text{book})=\tfrac45\cdot\tfrac34+\tfrac15\cdot\tfrac14=\tfrac35+\tfrac1{20}=\tfrac{12}{20}+\tfrac1{20}=\tfrac{13}{20}$.
   4. By Bayes' theorem: $P(\text{TV}\mid\text{asleep})=\dfrac{P(\text{TV})P(\text{asleep}\mid\text{TV})}{P(\text{asleep})}=\dfrac{\tfrac35}{\tfrac{13}{20}}=\tfrac35\times\tfrac{20}{13}=\tfrac{60}{65}=\tfrac{12}{13}$.

   Common Mistakes

   • Reporting the joint probability $P(\text{TV})P(\text{asleep}\mid\text{TV})=\tfrac35$ as the final answer instead of dividing by $P(\text{asleep})$.
   • Arithmetic slip converting $\tfrac35$ and $\tfrac1{20}$ to a common denominator.

   ✓Final answer

   The correct option is (B) — $\dfrac{12}{13}$.

   ANSWER: B

10. AP EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-19-FN1 markMCQ
    Q.A shopkeeper buys a particular type of electric bulbs from three manufacturers $M_1, M_2$ and $M_3$. He buys 25% of his requirement from $M_1$, 45% from $M_2$ and 30% from $M_3$. Based on past experience he found that 2% of type $M_3$ bulbs are defective, where as only 1% of type $M_1$ and type $M_2$ are defective. If a bulb chosen by him at random is defective, then the probability that it was of type $M_3$ is (A) $\dfrac{5}{13}$ (B) $\dfrac{6}{13}$ (C) $\dfrac{7}{13}$ (D) $\dfrac{8}{13}$

    ›Reveal solutionSolution

    A direct application of Bayes' theorem with the law of total probability for the defective-bulb probability. Answer: (B).

    Concept and Intuition

    This is a classic "reverse conditional probability" problem: we know how likely a defect is given the source, and want the reverse — the probability the source was $M_3$ given a defect was observed. Bayes' theorem converts one into the other via the law of total probability.

    Step-by-Step Solution

    1. Given: $P(M_1)=0.25,\ P(M_2)=0.45,\ P(M_3)=0.30$; $P(D|M_1)=0.01,\ P(D|M_2)=0.01,\ P(D|M_3)=0.02$.
    2. Total probability of a defective bulb: $P(D)=P(M_1)P(D|M_1)+P(M_2)P(D|M_2)+P(M_3)P(D|M_3)$ $=0.25(0.01)+0.45(0.01)+0.30(0.02)=0.0025+0.0045+0.006=0.013$.
    3. By Bayes' theorem: $P(M_3|D)=\dfrac{P(M_3)P(D|M_3)}{P(D)}=\dfrac{0.006}{0.013}=\dfrac{6}{13}$.

    Common Mistakes

    • Forgetting to include all three manufacturers in the denominator (total probability).
    • Mixing up $P(D|M_3)$ (given) with $P(M_3|D)$ (asked) — they are not the same quantity.

    ✓Final answer

    The correct option is (B) — $\dfrac6{13}$.

    ANSWER: B

11. AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-24-FN1 markMCQ
    Q.An item is tested on a device for its defectiveness. The probability that such an item is defective is 0.3. The device gives accurate result in 8 out of 10 such tests. If the device reports that an item tested is not defective, then the probability that it is actually defective is (A) $\dfrac{2}{15}$ (B) $\dfrac{3}{29}$ (C) $\dfrac{3}{31}$ (D) $\dfrac{4}{51}$

    ›Reveal solutionSolution

    A direct Bayes'-theorem inversion problem; the item is actually defective with probability $\dfrac{3}{31}$ given a "not defective" report — option (C).

    Concept and Intuition

    The device's report can be wrong. To find the true state given an observed (possibly wrong) report, we must weigh both ways the report could have arisen: a genuinely non-defective item correctly reported as such, or a genuinely defective item incorrectly reported as non-defective. Bayes' theorem combines these.

    Step-by-Step Solution

    1. Let $D$: item defective, $P(D)=0.3$; $D'$: item not defective, $P(D')=0.7$.
    2. Device accuracy $=0.8$, so it errs with probability $0.2$.
    3. "Reports not defective" while the item is defective means the device made an error: $P(\text{report ND}\mid D)=0.2$.
    4. "Reports not defective" while the item is not defective means the device was accurate: $P(\text{report ND}\mid D')=0.8$.
    5. By the total probability rule: $P(\text{report ND}) = 0.3(0.2)+0.7(0.8) = 0.06+0.56=0.62$.
    6. By Bayes' theorem: $P(D\mid\text{report ND})=\dfrac{0.3\times0.2}{0.62}=\dfrac{0.06}{0.62}=\dfrac{6}{62}=\dfrac{3}{31}$.

    Common Mistakes

    • Swapping which conditional (accurate vs. inaccurate) applies to which true state.
    • Forgetting to normalize by the total probability of the observed report (just using the numerator).

    ✓Final answer

    The correct option is (C) — $\dfrac{3}{31}$.

    ANSWER: C

12. AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-21-AN1 markMCQ
    Q.A manufacturing company of bulbs has 3 units A, B and C which produce 25%, 35% and 40% of the bulbs respectively. Out of the bulbs produced by A, B, C units, 5%, 4% and 2% are defective respectively. If a bulb is chosen at random and found to be defective, then the probability that it is produced by unit B is (A) $\dfrac{28}{69}$ (B) $\dfrac{28}{71}$ (C) $\dfrac{29}{67}$ (D) $\dfrac{25}{69}$

    ›Reveal solutionSolution

    This tests Bayes' theorem: given the bulb is defective, find the (reversed) probability it came from unit B. Answer: $\dfrac{28}{69}$.

    Concept and Intuition

    We know the forward probabilities (which unit makes what fraction, and each unit's defect rate), but we're asked a reverse question: given the bulb turned out defective, which unit is it likely from? Bayes' theorem reweights the prior production shares by how likely each unit was to have produced this particular (defective) outcome.

    Step-by-Step Solution

    1. Let $A,B,C$ be the events "bulb from unit A/B/C", with $P(A)=0.25,\ P(B)=0.35,\ P(C)=0.40$.
    2. Conditional defect rates: $P(D\mid A)=0.05,\ P(D\mid B)=0.04,\ P(D\mid C)=0.02$.
    3. Total probability of a defective bulb:

    $P(D)=0.25(0.05)+0.35(0.04)+0.40(0.02)=0.0125+0.014+0.008=0.0345$

    4. By Bayes' theorem:

    $P(B\mid D)=\dfrac{P(B)P(D\mid B)}{P(D)}=\dfrac{0.014}{0.0345}=\dfrac{1400}{3450}=\dfrac{28}{69}$

    Common Mistakes

    • Forgetting to weight each unit's defect rate by its production share before summing for $P(D)$.
    • Confusing $P(D\mid B)$ (given) with $P(B\mid D)$ (asked).

    ✓Final answer

    The correct option is (A) — $\dfrac{28}{69}$.

    ANSWER: A