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Q.Recent studies suggest that roughly 12% of the world population is left handed. Depending upon the parents, the chances of having a left handed child are as follows: A: When both father and mother are left handed: chances of left handed child is 24%. B: When father is right handed and mother is left handed: chances of left handed child is 22%. C: When father is left handed and mother is right handed: chances of left handed child is 17%. D: When both father and mother are right handed: chances of left handed child is 9%. Assuming that P(A)=P(B)=P(C)=P(D)=14P(A) = P(B) = P(C) = P(D) = \frac{1}{4} and LL denotes the event that the child is left handed, answer the following questions:

(i) Find P(L∣C)P(L \mid C).
(ii) Find P(Lˉ∣A)P(\bar{L} \mid A).
(iii)
(a) Find P(A∣L)P(A \mid L).
(OR)
(iii)
(b) Find the probability that a randomly selected child is left handed, given that exactly one of the parents is left handed.
CBSECBSE Class XII Board 2023Subjective· 4mImportance★★★★★
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(i) 0.170.17, (ii) 0.760.76, (iii)(a) P(A∣L)=13P(A|L)=\tfrac13; alternative (b): P(L∣exactly one parent LH)=0.195P(L\mid\text{exactly one parent LH})=0.195.

Part (a)

Each parental type is equally likely: P(A)=P(B)=P(C)=P(D)=14P(A)=P(B)=P(C)=P(D)=\tfrac14, with left-handed-child rates P(L∣A)=0.24, P(L∣B)=0.22, P(L∣C)=0.17, P(L∣D)=0.09P(L|A)=0.24,\ P(L|B)=0.22,\ P(L|C)=0.17,\ P(L|D)=0.09.

(i) P(L∣C)P(L\mid C) is read directly from the data: when father is left handed and mother right handed the chance is 17%17\%, so P(L∣C)=0.17P(L\mid C)=0.17.

(ii) P(Lˉ∣A)P(\bar L\mid A) is the complement of P(L∣A)P(L\mid A):

P(Lˉ∣A)=1−P(L∣A)=1−0.24=0.76.P(\bar L\mid A)=1-P(L\mid A)=1-0.24=0.76.

(iii)(a) By Bayes' theorem, first the total probability of a left-handed child:

P(L)=∑P(⋅)P(L∣⋅)=14(0.24+0.22+0.17+0.09)=14(0.72)=0.18.P(L)=\sum P(\cdot)P(L|\cdot)=\tfrac14(0.24+0.22+0.17+0.09)=\tfrac14(0.72)=0.18.

Then …

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