Q.Consider a game where the player tosses a six-sided fair die. If the face that comes up is 6, the player wins ₹36; otherwise he loses ₹k2, where k is the face that comes up, k∈{1,2,3,4,5}. The expected amount to win at this game in ₹ is
E(X) generalises the plain numerical average, weighting each value by its true probability rather than by n1; it need not be a value X can actually take, and is best read as the long-run average over many repetitions. Theorem 11.3 extends this to any function g(X): E(g(X))=∑xg(x)f(x) or ∫g(x)f(x)dx; taking g(X)=Xk gives the k-th momentE(Xk).
Variance (Definition 11.9): V(X)=E((X−E(X))2), with the far more usable computing form
V(X)=E(X2)−(E(X))2.
Standard deviation is σ=V(X); both are always ≥0. A smaller σ2 means values cluster tightly around the mean; a larger σ2 means they scatter more widely — even distributions sharing the same mean can differ sharply here.
Three linearity laws (for constants a,b): E(aX+b)=aE(X)+b (so E(aX)=aE(X) and E(b)=b); V(X)=E(X2)−(E(X))2 (restated); and V(aX+b)=a2V(X) (so V(aX)=a2V(X) and V(b)=0). These make quick work of a shifted/scaled random variable — e.g. a net "winning amount" that is a linear function of a raw count — without recomputing the distribution from scratch.
Worked technique. For a discrete X: tabulate x, f(x), xf(x), x2f(x); sum the last two columns to get E(X) and E(X2) directly, then apply V(X)=E(X2)−(E(X))2. For a continuous X: compute E(X)=∫xf(x)dx and E(X2)=∫x2f(x)dx over the support, then the same variance formula.
E(X)=61[36−(1+4+9+16+25)]=61(36−55).
✓Final answer
Option (2): −619.
Each face is equally likely with probability 61; sum face-value times payoff across all six faces.
Step 1. List the payoff for each face. Face 6: win +36. Faces 1,2,3,4,5: lose k2, i.e. payoff −1,−4,−9,−16,−25 respectively.
Step 2. Compute E(X) as the average of the six payoffs (each with probability 61).
E(X)=61[36−(1+4+9+16+25)]=61[36−55]=6−19.
Step 3. State the result.E(X)=−619 (rupees) — a negative expected value, i.e. the player expects to lose on average.
✓Final answer
E(X)=−619 — option (2).
Expectation as an equally-weighted average of the six face payoffs
Adding 36 into the losing sum instead of keeping it separate as the sole winning face