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Exercise 12.5 · Q5

Q.Let AA and BB be two events such that P(A∪B‾)=16P\left(\overline{A\cup B}\right)=\dfrac{1}{6}, P(A∩B)=14P(A\cap B)=\dfrac{1}{4} and P(A‾)=14P(\overline{A})=\dfrac{1}{4}. Then the events AA and BB are

(1) Equally likely but not independent
(2) Independent but not equally likely
(3) Independent and equally likely
(4) Mutually inclusive and dependent
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Step 1. Apply the complement rule to P(A∪B‾)=16P\left(\overline{A\cup B}\right)=\dfrac16: P(A∪B)=1−16=56P(A\cup B)=1-\dfrac16=\dfrac56.

Step 2. Apply the complement rule to P(A‾)=14P(\overline{A})=\dfrac14: P(A)=1−14=34P(A)=1-\dfrac14=\dfrac34.

Step 3. Use the addition (inclusion-exclusion) rule P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B) to solve for P(B)P(B):

56=34+P(B)−14  ⇒  56=12+P(B)  ⇒  P(B)=56−12=13\dfrac56=\dfrac34+P(B)-\dfrac14 \;\Rightarrow\; \dfrac56=\dfrac12+P(B) \;\Rightarrow\; P(B)=\dfrac56-\dfrac12=\dfrac13. …

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