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Exercises · Q12

Q.A problem is given to three students AA, BB, CC whose chances of solving it are 12\dfrac{1}{2}, 13\dfrac{1}{3} and 14\dfrac{1}{4} respectively. If they attempt independently, find the probability that the problem is solved.

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The problem is solved if at least one of A,B,CA,B,C solves it. Directly this involves many cases, so use the complement: "solved" is the opposite of "none solves it".

The individual failure probabilities are

P(A′)=1−12=12,P(B′)=1−13=23,P(C′)=1−14=34.P(A')=1-\tfrac12=\tfrac12,\quad P(B')=1-\tfrac13=\tfrac23,\quad P(C')=1-\tfrac14=\tfrac34.

Since the attempts are independent, so are the failures, and the probability that all three fail is the product:

P(none solves)=P(A′)P(B′)P(C′)=12×23×34=624=14.P(\text{none solves})=P(A')P(B')P(C')=\frac12\times\frac23\times\frac34=\frac{6}{24}=\frac14.

Therefore …

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