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Exercises · Q14

Q.If P(A)=25P(A)=\dfrac{2}{5}, P(B)=13P(B)=\dfrac{1}{3} and P(A∩B)=15P(A\cap B)=\dfrac{1}{5}, find P(A∣B)P(A\mid B) and P(B∣A)P(B\mid A).

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Use the definition of conditional probability.

P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)=1/51/3=15×31=35.P(A\mid B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\frac{1/5}{1/3}=\frac{1}{5}\times\frac{3}{1}=\frac{3}{5}.

P(B∣A)=P(A∩B)P(A)=1/52/5=15×52=12.P(B\mid A)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}=\frac{1/5}{2/5}=\frac{1}{5}\times\frac{5}{2}=\frac{1}{2}.

Independent check via the multiplication theorem. P(A∩B)P(A\cap B) should equal P(B) P(A∣B)=13×35=15P(B)\,P(A\mid B)=\dfrac13\times\dfrac35=\dfrac15 ✓, and also P(A) P(B∣A)=25×12=15P(A)\,P(B\mid A)=\dfrac25\times\dfrac12=\dfrac15 ✓ — both reproduce the given P(A∩B)=15P(A\cap B)=\dfrac15. …

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