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Q.(a) If XX is a normal variate with mean (μ)=70(\mu) = 70 and standard deviation (σ)=5(\sigma) = 5, then find P(X>75)P(X > 75). (Given : P(0<Z<1)=0.3413P(0 < Z < 1) = 0.3413)

(OR)
(b) If XX is a Poisson variate such that P(X=0)=P(X=1)=αP(X = 0) = P(X = 1) = \alpha, then show that α=e−1\alpha = e^{-1}.
CBSECBSE Class XII Board 2024Subjective· 2mImportance★★★★★est
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  1. Z=1Z=1 gives P(X>75)=0.5−0.3413=0.1587P(X>75)=0.5-0.3413=0.1587;
  2. P(X=0)=P(X=1)P(X{=}0)=P(X{=}1) forces λ=1\lambda=1, hence α=e−1\alpha=e^{-1}.

Normal: Z=X−μσZ=\dfrac{X-\mu}{\sigma}, with P(Z>z)=0.5−P(0<Z<z)P(Z>z)=0.5-P(0<Z<z). Poisson: P(X=r)=e−λλrr!P(X=r)=\dfrac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda^{r}}{r!}, r=0,1,2,…r=0,1,2,\dots

Part (a): μ=70, σ=5\mu=70,\ \sigma=5, find P(X>75)P(X>75)

  1. Standardise X=75X=75: Z=75−705=1Z=\dfrac{75-70}{5}=1.
  2. So P(X>75)=P(Z>1)=0.5−P(0<Z<1)P(X>75)=P(Z>1)=0.5-P(0<Z<1).
  3. Given P(0<Z<1)=0.3413P(0<Z<1)=0.3413, hence P(X>75)=0.5−0.3413=0.1587P(X>75)=0.5-0.3413=0.1587.

Part (b): Poisson with P(X=0)=P(X=1)=αP(X=0)=P(X=1)=\alpha, show α=e−1\alpha=e^{-1}

4. P(X=0)=e−λλ00!=e−λ=α.P(X=0)=\dfrac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda^{0}}{0!}=e^{-\lambda}=\alpha. …

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