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NCERT Exemplar · Q39

Q.In Exercise 64 above, P(B∣A′)P(B \mid A') is equal to
(A) 15\dfrac{1}{5}
(B) 310\dfrac{3}{10}
(C) 12\dfrac{1}{2}
(D) 35\dfrac{3}{5}

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With Exercise 64's data (P(B)=35, P(A∣B)=12, P(A∪B)=45P(B)=\tfrac35,\ P(A\mid B)=\tfrac12,\ P(A\cup B)=\tfrac45) we get P(A)=12P(A)=\tfrac12 and P(B∣A′)=35P(B\mid A')=\tfrac35 — option (D).

Collect the data from Exercise 64

P(B)=35,P(A∣B)=12,P(A∪B)=45.P(B)=\tfrac35,\qquad P(A\mid B)=\tfrac12,\qquad P(A\cup B)=\tfrac45.

Step 1 — P(A∩B)P(A\cap B)

By the multiplication rule, P(A∩B)=P(A∣B) P(B)=12⋅35=310.P(A\cap B)=P(A\mid B)\,P(B)=\tfrac12\cdot\tfrac35=\tfrac{3}{10}.

Step 2 — P(A)P(A) and P(A′)P(A')

From the addition rule, P(A)=P(A∪B)−P(B)+P(A∩B)=45−35+310=210+310=12.P(A)=P(A\cup B)-P(B)+P(A\cap B)=\tfrac45-\tfrac35+\tfrac{3}{10}=\tfrac{2}{10}+\tfrac{3}{10}=\tfrac12.

Hence P(A′)=1−12=12.P(A')=1-\tfrac12=\tfrac12.

Step 3 — P(B∩A′)P(B\cap A') …

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