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NCERT Exemplar · Q7

Q.Three events AA, BB and CC have probabilities 25\dfrac{2}{5}, 13\dfrac{1}{3} and 12\dfrac{1}{2}, respectively. Given that P(A∩C)=15P(A \cap C) = \dfrac{1}{5} and P(B∩C)=14P(B \cap C) = \dfrac{1}{4}, find the values of P(C∣B)P(C \mid B) and P(A′∩C′)P(A' \cap C').

Telangana TsbieShort· 3mImportance★★★★★
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The key idea is to apply the definition of conditional probability and the complement rule. P(C∣B)=34P(C \mid B) = \frac{3}{4} and P(A′∩C′)=310P(A' \cap C') = \frac{3}{10}.

We start with the definition of conditional probability. For any two events XX and YY, the probability of XX given YY is

P(X∣Y)=P(X∩Y)P(Y)P(X \mid Y) = \frac{P(X \cap Y)}{P(Y)}

provided P(Y)>0P(Y) > 0. This is not a formula to memorise blindly — it makes sense: if we know YY has happened, we restrict our attention to that part of the sample space, and we want the fraction of YY that also contains XX.

For the second part, P(A′∩C′)P(A' \cap C') is the probability that neither AA nor CC occurs. By De Morgan’s law, A′∩C′=(A∪C)′A' \cap C' = (A \cup C)', so

P(A′∩C′)=1−P(A∪C).P(A' \cap C') = 1 - P(A \cup C).

We already have P(A)P(A), P(C)P(C), and P(A∩C)P(A \cap C), so we can find P(A∪C)P(A \cup C) using the addition rule.

Let’s work through it step by step.

  1. Find P(C∣B)P(C \mid B) Using the definition:

P(C∣B)=P(B∩C)P(B)P(C \mid B) = \frac{P(B \cap C)}{P(B)}

We are given P(B∩C)=14P(B \cap C) = \frac{1}{4} and P(B)=13P(B) = \frac{1}{3}.

So

P(C∣B)=1/41/3=14×31=34.P(C \mid B) = \frac{1/4}{1/3} = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{1} = \frac{3}{4}.

  1. Find P(A′∩C′)P(A' \cap C') First, compute P(A∪C)P(A \cup C) using the addition rule:

P(A∪C)=P(A)+P(C)−P(A∩C)P(A \cup C) = P(A) + P(C) - P(A \cap C)

Substitute the given values:

P(A∪C)=25+12−15P(A \cup C) = \frac{2}{5} + \frac{1}{2} - \frac{1}{5}

Get a common denominator (10): …

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