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EXERCISE 8.1 · Q3

Q.There are 5% defective items in a large bulk of items. What is the probability that a sample of 10 items will include not more than one defective item?

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✓ Free question

With n=10n=10 items and a 5% defective rate, p=0.05p=0.05, q=0.95q=0.95, and X∼B(10,0.05)X\sim B(10,0.05) counts the number of defectives. 'Not more than one' defective means X≤1X\le1, i.e. P(X=0)+P(X=1)P(X=0)+P(X=1).

P(X=0)=10C0(0.05)0(0.95)10=(0.95)10≈0.5987P(X=0)={}^{10}C_0(0.05)^0(0.95)^{10}=(0.95)^{10}\approx0.5987.

P(X=1)=10C1(0.05)1(0.95)9=10×0.05×(0.95)9≈0.3151P(X=1)={}^{10}C_1(0.05)^1(0.95)^9=10\times0.05\times(0.95)^9\approx0.3151.

P(X≤1)≈0.5987+0.3151=0.9139P(X\le1)\approx0.5987+0.3151=0.9139.

✓Final answer

P(X≤1)≈0.9139P(X\le1)\approx0.9139 (about 91.4%).

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