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MISCELLANEOUS EXERCISE 8 (II) · Q33

Q.An examination consists of 10 multiple-choice questions, in each of which a candidate has to deduce which one of five suggested answers is correct. A completely unprepared student guesses each answer completely randomly. What is the probability that this student gets 8 or more questions correct? Draw the appropriate moral!

Maharashtra MsbshseTextbookSubjectiveImportance★★★★★
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With 5 suggested answers per question and pure random guessing, p=15=0.2p=\dfrac15=0.2 (correct), q=0.8q=0.8 (wrong); X∼B(10,0.2)X\sim B(10,0.2) counts the correct guesses out of n=10n=10 questions.

P(X≥8)=P(8)+P(9)+P(10)P(X\ge8)=P(8)+P(9)+P(10).

P(8)=10C8(0.2)8(0.8)2≈0.0000737P(8)={}^{10}C_8(0.2)^8(0.8)^2\approx0.0000737, P(9)=10C9(0.2)9(0.8)1≈0.0000041P(9)={}^{10}C_9(0.2)^9(0.8)^1\approx0.0000041, P(10)=(0.2)10≈0.0000001P(10)=(0.2)^{10}\approx0.0000001. …

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