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MISCELLANEOUS EXERCISE 8 (II) · Q35

Q.The probability that a machine develops a fault within the first 3 years of use is 0.0030.003. If 40 machines are selected at random, calculate the probability that 38 or more will not develop any faults within the first 3 years of use.

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Let YY = number of machines (out of 40) that DO develop a fault, Y∼B(40,0.003)Y\sim B(40,0.003) with q=0.997q=0.997 (no fault). '38 or more will NOT develop any fault' means at most 2 machines DO develop a fault, i.e. Y≤2Y\le2.

P(Y≤2)=P(0)+P(1)+P(2)P(Y\le2)=P(0)+P(1)+P(2). …

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