Q.Three dice are thrown at the same time. Find the probability of getting three two's, if it is known that the sum of the numbers on the dice was six.
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🔒 Start your 14-day free trial to unlock the full solution →Concept understanding — Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
Roll a die and ask "what is the chance of an even number?" — that is 3/6. But suppose someone tells you the result is greater than 3. Now you are no longer looking at all six faces, only at {4,5,6}, and two of those (4 and 6) are even, so the probability becomes 2/3. That change — from the probability of A to the probability of A given that B has already occurred — is conditional probability.
The Idea: Shrink the Sample Space
Conditioning on B throws away every outcome where B is false and treats B as the new "whole world." You measure A only against what is still possible.
Think of filtering a table of data: unconditional probability uses every row; conditional probability keeps only the rows where the condition is true.
The Definition
For events A and B with P(B)>0,
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B).
We divide by P(B) to rescale so that B itself has probability 1; the surviving part of A is the overlap A∩B. Checking the die: P(A∩B)=P({4,6})=62 and P(B)=63, so P(A∣B)=3/62/6=32, matching the intuition.
Rearranging gives the multiplication rule P(A∩B)=P(A∣B)P(B), which is usually the easier way to compute a joint probability when a problem says "given that."
Two Cautions
- P(A∣B) and P(B∣A) are generally not equal; swapping them is the classic mistake. They are linked by Bayes' theorem, P(A∣B)=P(B)P(B∣A)P(A). …
Concept: Conditional Probability — we restrict the sample space to only those outcomes where the sum is 6, then find the fraction where all three dice show 2.
Step 1: Total outcomes where sum = 6
We need ordered triples (a,b,c) with 1≤a,b,c≤6 and a+b+c=6.
The only possibilities (allowing permutations) are:
(1,1,4), (1,2,3), (2,2,2).
Count each:
- (1,1,4) has 2!3!=3 permutations.
- (1,2,3) has 3!=6 permutations.
- (2,2,2) has 1 permutation.
Total favourable for the condition = 3+6+1=10. …
The problem asks for the probability of getting three twos given that the sum is six. Since three twos sum to six, the event is a subset of the condition. The answer is 101.
Why conditional probability is the right tool
When we say "if it is known that the sum was six", we are restricting the sample space. Instead of all 63=216 possible outcomes, we only consider those triples (a,b,c) where a+b+c=6, with each die showing 1 to 6. The event "three twos" — that is, (2,2,2) — is one specific outcome. So the probability becomes:
P(three twos∣sum=6)=total outcomes in the restricted spacenumber of favourable outcomes
The numerator is easy: only one outcome, (2,2,2). The real work is counting how many ordered triples of dice sum to 6.
A common mistake is to treat the dice as indistinguishable. But dice are distinct objects — even if thrown together, the ordered triple (1,2,3) is different from (3,2,1). Always count ordered outcomes unless the problem explicitly says otherwise.
Step-by-step solution
- Count all ordered triples (a,b,c) with 1≤a,b,c≤6 and a+b+c=6. Since the minimum on each die is 1, let x=a−1, y=b−1, z=c−1. Then x,y,z≥0 and:
(x+1)+(y+1)+(z+1)=6⇒x+y+z=3
Each of x,y,z can be at most 5 (since a≤6), but with sum only 3, the upper bound is irrelevant. The number of non-negative integer solutions to x+y+z=3 is given by stars-and-bars:
(3−13+3−1)=(25)=10 …
Method: Conditional Probability by Restricting and Counting the Sample Space
Use this when a condition ("given the sum is …") narrows the outcomes and you want the chance of a specific result inside that restricted set.
Steps
Step 1: Restrict to outcomes satisfying the condition.
The condition becomes the new "whole world". Count how many ordered outcomes meet it (dice are distinct, so (1,2,3) and (3,2,1) are different).
Step 2: Count the favourable outcomes inside that restricted set. …
Common Mistakes
Mistake 1: Treating the three dice as indistinguishable.
Why it's wrong: dice are distinct, so (1,2,3) and (3,2,1) are different ordered outcomes; counting them as one shrinks the denominator wrongly. Correct approach: count ordered triples — there are 10 ways to make a sum of 6.
Mistake 2: Dividing by 216 instead of 10. …
Showing the 12 most recent of 69 on this concept.
- AP EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-17-FN1 markMCQQ.A pair of dice is thrown. Then the probability that either of the dice shows 2 when their sum is 6 is (A) 21 (B) 51 (C) 52 (D) 53
›Reveal solutionSolution
This is a conditional probability: restrict the sample space to pairs summing to 6, then count how many of those have a 2 on either die.
Concept and Intuition
"Given that the sum is 6" restricts attention to only those (die1, die2) pairs whose total is 6. Within that restricted, equally-likely set, we simply count the favourable outcomes.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Pairs (d1,d2) with d1+d2=6: (1,5),(2,4),(3,3),(4,2),(5,1) — 5 outcomes, each equally likely given the sum is 6.
- Favourable outcomes (either die shows 2): (2,4) and (4,2) — 2 outcomes.
- Required probability =52.
Common Mistakes …
- AP EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-12-FN1 markMCQQ.A die is thrown three times. If the sum of the numbers thrown is 15, then the probability that the first throw was a Four, is (A) 61 (B) 51 (C) 1085 (D) 1081
›Reveal solutionSolution
A conditional probability found by directly counting favourable die-triples against all triples summing to the given total.
Concept and Intuition
P(first=4∣sum=15)=#{triples with sum=15}#{triples with first=4, sum=15} — a straightforward application of conditional probability by counting, since all 63 triples are equally likely.
Step-by-Step Solution
- If the first throw is 4, the other two throws (each from 1 to 6) must sum to 15−4=11.
- Pairs of dice summing to 11: (5,6) and (6,5) — 2 ways.
- Now count all triples (a,b,c), each in 1–6, with a+b+c=15. Substitute a′=6−a,b′=6−b,c′=6−c (each in 0–5): then a′+b′+c′=18−15=3.
- Number of non-negative integer solutions to a′+b′+c′=3 is (23+2)=10; since 3<5 none violate the upper bound of 5, so all 10 are valid.
- So there are 10 triples with sum 15 in total. …
- AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-21-FN1 markMCQQ.A person is known to speak the truth in 3 out of 4 occasions. If he throws a die and reports that it is six, then the probability that it is actually six is (A) 83 (B) 72 (C) 91 (D) 54
›Reveal solutionSolution
A classic Bayes'-theorem problem: combine the prior P(six)=1/6 with the witness's reliability 3/4 to get the posterior probability it's actually six, given he reports six. The answer is 3/8.
Concept and Intuition
Before he speaks, the die has P(six)=1/6. His report is evidence, but he isn't perfectly reliable (truthful 3/4 of the time). Bayes' theorem updates the prior probability using how likely the report "six" is under each of the two possibilities (six actually occurred vs. it didn't).
Step-by-Step Solution
- Let E1 = the die actually shows six, E2 = it doesn't. P(E1)=61, P(E2)=65.
- Let A = he reports "six". If E1 occurred, he reports six truthfully with probability 43: P(A∣E1)=43.
- If E2 occurred, he reports "six" only if he lies, with probability 41: P(A∣E2)=41.
- By Bayes' theorem:
P(E1∣A)=P(A∣E1)P(E1)+P(A∣E2)P(E2)P(A∣E1)P(E1).
- Numerator: 43⋅61=243=81.
- Denominator's second term: 41⋅65=245.
- Sum =243+245=248=31. …
- AP EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-15-FN1 markMCQQ.For a biased die, the probabilities for different faces to turn up are given belowThe die is tossed and you are told that either face 1 or 2 has turned up. Then the probability that it is face 1 is (A) 3310 (B) 215 (C) 218 (D) 421
Face 1 2 3 4 5 6 Probability 0.1 0.32 0.21 0.15 0.05 0.17 ›Reveal solutionSolution
Conditioning on "face 1 or face 2" just means renormalizing the two individual probabilities so they add to 1.
Concept and Intuition
P(face 1∣face 1 or 2)=P(face 1)+P(face 2)P(face 1), since these two events are mutually exclusive and their union is the conditioning event.
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(1)=0.1, P(2)=0.32.
- P(1 or 2)=0.1+0.32=0.42.
- P(1∣1 or 2)=0.420.1=4210=215.
Common Mistakes …
- AP EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-16-AN1 markMCQQ.Two dice are rolled. If A denote the event that the same number shows on each die and B denote the event that the sum of the numbers on both dice is greater than 7, then P(A∣B) and P(B∣A) respectively are (A) 52,41 (B) 51,21 (C) 51,41 (D) 21,53
›Reveal solutionSolution
Counting the 36 equally likely dice outcomes directly gives P(A∣B)=51 and P(B∣A)=21.
Concept and Intuition
With two fair dice there are 36 equally likely outcomes, so every probability here reduces to simple counting: enumerate the outcomes in A, in B, and in A∩B, then apply the conditional probability formula P(X∣Y)=P(Y)P(X∩Y) directly as a ratio of counts.
Step-by-Step Solution
- A = "same number on each die": outcomes (1,1),(2,2),(3,3),(4,4),(5,5),(6,6) — 6 outcomes, so P(A)=366.
- B = "sum >7", i.e. sum ∈{8,9,10,11,12}. Counting pairs per sum: sum 8 has 5 pairs, 9 has 4, 10 has 3, 11 has 2, 12 has 1 — total 5+4+3+2+1=15 outcomes, so P(B)=3615.
- A∩B: doubles with sum >7 — check each double: (4,4) sum 8 ✓, (5,5) sum 10 ✓, (6,6) sum 12 ✓; (1,1),(2,2),(3,3) have sums 2,4,6, all ≤7 — excluded. So A∩B has 3 outcomes, P(A∩B)=363. …
- AP EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-17-AN1 markMCQQ.Three boxes B1, B2 and B3 contain balls with different colors as follows:A die is thrown. Box B1 is chosen if either 1 or 2 turns up. Box B2 is chosen if 3 or 4 turns up and box B3 is chosen if 5 or 6 turns up. Having chosen a box in this way, a ball is drawn at random from that box. If the ball drawn is found to be Red, then the probability that it is drawn from box B2 is (A) 127 (B) 125 (C) 121 (D) 263
White Black Red B1 2 1 2 B2 3 2 4 B3 4 3 2 ›Reveal solutionSolution
A Bayes'-theorem problem: reverse the conditional probability "ball is Red, which box?" using the total-probability formula.
Concept and Intuition
Bayes' theorem lets us "invert" a conditional probability. We know P(Red∣Bi) for each box and the prior P(Bi) (each 1/3 since the die is fair and each box corresponds to two faces); we want the posterior P(B2∣Red).
Step-by-Step Solution
- Totals in each box: B1: 2+1+2=5; B2: 3+2+4=9; B3: 4+3+2=9.
- P(Red∣B1)=52, P(Red∣B2)=94, P(Red∣B3)=92.
- Each box has prior probability 31 (each box corresponds to two die faces out of six).
- Total probability: P(Red)=31(52+94+92)=31(52+32)=31⋅1516=4516. …
- AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-22-FN1 markMCQQ.Two persons A and B throw three unbiased dice one after the another. If A gets the sum 13, then the probability that B gets higher sum is (A) 2165 (B) 274 (C) 21635 (D) 21620
›Reveal solutionSolution
This tests knowing (or deriving) the distribution of the sum of three dice and just needs P(sum>13) since B's throw is independent of A's. Answer: 35/216.
Concept and Intuition
Since the two people throw independently, "A got 13" tells us nothing about B's throw — we just need P(sum of 3 dice>13)=P(sum≥14) out of all 63=216 equally likely outcomes.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Total outcomes for three dice: 63=216.
- The number of ways to get sum s with 3 dice is symmetric: N(s)=N(21−s) (since replacing each die value v by 7−v maps sum s to 21−s).
- Known counts: N(3)=1,N(4)=3,N(5)=6,N(6)=10,N(7)=15; by symmetry N(18)=1,N(17)=3,N(16)=6,N(15)=10,N(14)=15. …
- AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-22-FN1 markMCQQ.A bag contains 6 balls. If three balls are drawn at a time and all of them are found to be green, then the probability that exactly 5 of the balls in the bag are green is: (A) 354 (B) 355 (C) 72 (D) 71
›Reveal solutionSolution
This is a Bayes'-theorem problem: given a uniform prior on the unknown number of green balls in the bag, update the belief after observing 3 green balls drawn. Answer: 2/7.
Concept and Intuition
Before drawing, any number of green balls from 0 to 6 is equally likely (7 equally likely hypotheses). Observing "all 3 drawn balls are green" is much more likely under hypotheses with more green balls, so Bayes' theorem reweights the prior toward higher k. We want the posterior probability that k=5.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Prior: P(k green balls)=71 for k=0,1,…,6.
- Likelihood of drawing 3 balls, all green, given k green balls out of 6: P(all green∣k)=(36)(3k)=20(3k) (zero for k<3).
- Compute: k=3:(33)=1⇒1/20; k=4:(34)=4⇒4/20; k=5:(35)=10⇒10/20; k=6:(36)=20⇒20/20=1. …
- AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-23-AN1 markMCQQ.A die is thrown twice. Let A be the event of getting a prime number when the die is thrown first time and B be the event of getting an even number when the die is thrown second time. Then P(A/Bˉ)= (A) 21 (B) 32 (C) 51 (D) 53
›Reveal solutionSolution
Since A and B (hence Bˉ) come from two independent throws of the die, conditioning on Bˉ does not change P(A); the answer is 1/2.
Concept and Intuition
When two events are determined by physically independent trials (first throw vs second throw of a die), any conditional probability between them collapses to the unconditional probability — conditioning on an independent event changes nothing.
Step-by-Step Solution
- A: prime number on the first throw, i.e. outcome in {2,3,5}, so P(A)=63=21.
- B: even number on the second throw, i.e. outcome in {2,4,6}, so P(B)=21, and P(Bˉ)=21 (odd on the second throw). …
- AP EAPCET 2021Set eng-2021-08-25-FN1 markMCQQ.One ticket is selected at random from 50 tickets numbered 00,01,02,…49. The probability that sum of the digits is 10, given that product of the digits is 9 is (A) 109 (B) 41 (C) 21 (D) 252
›Reveal solutionSolution
Only two tickets (19 and 33) have digit-product 9, and only one of them (19) also has digit-sum 10, giving conditional probability 1/2.
Concept and Intuition
Conditional probability P(sum=10∣product=9) restricts attention entirely to the tickets satisfying the "given" condition (product =9), then asks what fraction of those also satisfy the target condition (sum =10).
Step-by-Step Solution
- List all two-digit combinations (d1,d2) with d1∈{0,1,2,3,4} (tens digit, since tickets run 00–49) and d2∈{0,…,9} (units digit) whose product is 9:
- d1=1,d2=9: ticket 19.
- d1=3,d2=3: ticket 33.
- No other integer pairs with d1≤4 give product 9.
- So the "product = 9" event has exactly 2 tickets: {19,33}.
- Check digit sums: 19→1+9=10 ✓; 33→3+3=6 ✗.
- Only 1 out of these 2 tickets also has digit-sum 10. …
- List all two-digit combinations (d1,d2) with d1∈{0,1,2,3,4} (tens digit, since tickets run 00–49) and d2∈{0,…,9} (units digit) whose product is 9:
- AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-23-AN1 markMCQQ.A bag contains 5 balls of unknown colours. There are equal chances that out of these five balls, there may be 0 or 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 or 5 red balls. A ball is taken out from the bag at random and is found to be red. The probability that it is the only red ball in the bag is (A) 51 (B) 61 (C) 151 (D) 301
›Reveal solutionSolution
This is a Bayes'-theorem problem over the six equally likely compositions of red balls; the posterior probability that exactly one ball is red, given a red ball was drawn, is 1/15.
Concept and Intuition
Bayes' theorem updates the prior (uniform belief over how many red balls there are) using the evidence (a red ball was drawn) — compositions with more red balls make drawing red more likely, so they get more posterior weight, but we want specifically the R=1 case.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Prior: P(R=r)=61 for r=0,1,2,3,4,5.
- Likelihood of drawing red given R=r red balls among 5: P(red∣R=r)=5r.
- Total probability of drawing red: P(red)=∑r=0561⋅5r=301(0+1+2+3+4+5)=3015=21. …
- AP EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-15-AN1 markMCQQ.If it is known that a woman has two children and she has at least one girl child, the probability that the woman has both girl children is (A) 41 (B) 31 (C) 32 (D) 21
›Reveal solutionSolution
This is a classic conditional-probability trap: conditioning on "at least one girl" (not "the elder/first child is a girl") leaves 3 equally likely outcomes, of which 1 is both-girls, giving 31.
Concept and Intuition
With two children, birth order matters for counting equally likely outcomes: BB,BG,GB,GG, each with probability 1/4. The event "at least one girl" is a set of outcomes, not a statement about a specific (e.g. first) child, so it correctly removes only BB and keeps three outcomes, not two. This distinguishes it from the simpler (and different) question "given the elder child is a girl," which would leave only {GB,GG} and give probability 1/2.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Sample space (ordered by birth, say elder-younger): {BB,BG,GB,GG}, each with probability 41.
- Event E = "at least one girl" = {BG,GB,GG}, so P(E)=43. …
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