Q.If P(A)=52, P(B)=103 and P(A∩B)=51, then P(A′∣B′)⋅P(B′∣A′) is equal to
(A) 65
(B) 75
(C) 4225
(D) 1
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🔒 Start your 14-day free trial to unlock the full solution →Concept understanding — Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
Roll a die and ask "what is the chance of an even number?" — that is 3/6. But suppose someone tells you the result is greater than 3. Now you are no longer looking at all six faces, only at {4,5,6}, and two of those (4 and 6) are even, so the probability becomes 2/3. That change — from the probability of A to the probability of A given that B has already occurred — is conditional probability.
The Idea: Shrink the Sample Space
Conditioning on B throws away every outcome where B is false and treats B as the new "whole world." You measure A only against what is still possible.
Think of filtering a table of data: unconditional probability uses every row; conditional probability keeps only the rows where the condition is true.
The Definition
For events A and B with P(B)>0,
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B).
We divide by P(B) to rescale so that B itself has probability 1; the surviving part of A is the overlap A∩B. Checking the die: P(A∩B)=P({4,6})=62 and P(B)=63, so P(A∣B)=3/62/6=32, matching the intuition.
Rearranging gives the multiplication rule P(A∩B)=P(A∣B)P(B), which is usually the easier way to compute a joint probability when a problem says "given that."
Two Cautions
- P(A∣B) and P(B∣A) are generally not equal; swapping them is the classic mistake. They are linked by Bayes' theorem, P(A∣B)=P(B)P(B∣A)P(A). …
Concept: Conditional Probability
We need P(A′∣B′)⋅P(B′∣A′).
By definition, P(A′∣B′)=P(B′)P(A′∩B′) and P(B′∣A′)=P(A′)P(A′∩B′).
So the product is P(A′)⋅P(B′)[P(A′∩B′)]2.
Step 1: Find P(A′) and P(B′)
P(A′)=1−52=53,
P(B′)=1−103=107.
Step 2: Find P(A′∩B′) using De Morgan’s law
P(A′∩B′)=P((A∪B)′)=1−P(A∪B).
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)=52+103−51=104+103−102=105=21. …
The problem asks for the product of two conditional probabilities involving complements. Using the definition of conditional probability and De Morgan’s law, we find the value is 4225, which corresponds to option (C).
We are given P(A)=52, P(B)=103, and P(A∩B)=51. We need P(A′∣B′)⋅P(B′∣A′).
The key idea: conditional probability measures the chance of one event given that another has occurred. Here, both conditions involve complements — so we first find probabilities of the complements and their intersection.
Step 1: Find P(A′) and P(B′).
Since P(A′)=1−P(A) and P(B′)=1−P(B):
P(A′)=1−52=53,P(B′)=1−103=107.
Step 2: Find P(A′∩B′).
By De Morgan’s law, A′∩B′=(A∪B)′. So P(A′∩B′)=1−P(A∪B).
We need P(A∪B) first. Using the addition rule:
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)=52+103−51.
Convert to tenths: 52=104, 51=102. So:
P(A∪B)=104+103−102=105=21.
Thus:
P(A′∩B′)=1−21=21.
A quick check: P(A′∩B′) is the probability that neither A nor B occurs. Since P(A∪B)=1/2, the complement is also 1/2 — a neat symmetry here.
Step 3: Write the conditional probabilities. …
Method: Conditional probabilities of complements
Use this when the events being conditioned on are complements (A′, B′) and you must combine two such conditionals.
Steps
Step 1: Get the complement marginals.
P(A′)=1−P(A),P(B′)=1−P(B).
Step 2: Get the joint of the complements with De Morgan's law.
A′∩B′=(A∪B)′, so
P(A′∩B′)=1−P(A∪B),withP(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B). …
Common Mistakes
Mistake 1: Using P(A′∣B′)=1−P(A∣B).
Why it's wrong: conditional probability does not distribute over complements, and here the condition also changes from B to B′. Correct approach: go back to the definition, P(A′∣B′)=P(B′)P(A′∩B′).
Mistake 2: Mishandling the joint of complements. …
Showing the 12 most recent of 69 on this concept.
- AP EAPCET 2021Set eng-2021-08-23-FN1 markMCQQ.Let A and B be two events with P(A)=71, P(A/B)=52 and P(B)=72. Then the value P(B/A) is (A) 51 (B) 495 (C) 54 (D) 53
›Reveal solutionSolution
Chain the conditional-probability definition twice: first get P(A∩B) from P(A/B), then get P(B/A) from that.
Concept and Intuition
Conditional probability is defined as P(E/F)=P(F)P(E∩F). Given one conditional probability, we can back out the joint probability P(A∩B), and then use it (with the definition again, but conditioning the other way) to find the other conditional probability.
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(A/B)=P(B)P(A∩B)⇒P(A∩B)=P(A/B)⋅P(B)=52×72=354.
- Now use P(B/A)=P(A)P(A∩B)=1/74/35. …
- AP EAPCET 2021Set eng-2021-08-25-AN1 markMCQQ.Given P(A)=0.5,P(B)=0.4,P(A∩B)=0.3 then P(A′/B′) is equal to (A) 31 (B) 21 (C) 32 (D) 43
›Reveal solutionSolution
Using De Morgan's law A′∩B′=(A∪B)′ and the conditional probability formula gives P(A′∣B′)=32.
Concept and Intuition
P(A′∣B′) asks: given we're outside B, what's the chance we're also outside A? The key trick is that A′∩B′=(A∪B)′ (De Morgan), which is easy to compute from P(A∪B).
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)=0.5+0.4−0.3=0.6.
- P(A′∩B′)=P((A∪B)′)=1−P(A∪B)=1−0.6=0.4.
- P(B′)=1−P(B)=1−0.4=0.6. …
- AP EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-05-FN1 markMCQQ.If A and B are two events such that P(B)=0 and P(B)=1, then P(Aˉ∣Bˉ) is (A) 1−P(A∣B) (B) 1−P(Aˉ∣B) (C) P(Bˉ)1−P(A∪B) (D) P(Bˉ)P(Aˉ)
›Reveal solutionSolution
Directly apply the definition of conditional probability together with De Morgan's law; the answer is P(Bˉ)1−P(A∪B).
Concept and Intuition
Conditional probability is defined as P(X∣Y)=P(Y)P(X∩Y). Here X=Aˉ, Y=Bˉ. By De Morgan's law, Aˉ∩Bˉ=A∪B, so its probability is 1−P(A∪B).
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(Aˉ∣Bˉ)=P(Bˉ)P(Aˉ∩Bˉ).
- Aˉ∩Bˉ=A∪B (De Morgan).
- So P(Aˉ∩Bˉ)=1−P(A∪B). …
- AP EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-06-FN1 markMCQQ.Two persons P and Q are considering to apply for a job. The probability that P applies for the job is 1/4, the probability that P applies for the job given that Q applies for the job is 1/2, and the probability that Q applies for the job given that P applies for the job is 1/3. Then the probability that P does not apply for the job given that Q does not apply for the job is (A) 4/5 (B) 5/6 (C) 7/8 (D) 11/12
›Reveal solutionSolution
Chain the given conditional probabilities to find P(Q) and P(P∩Q), then use the complement rule — the answer is (A) 4/5.
Concept and Intuition
Conditional probability definitions let us cross-multiply to recover the joint probability P(P∩Q) from either conditional. Once P(P),P(Q),P(P∩Q) are all known, De Morgan's law converts "neither event" into the complement of the union.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Given: P(P)=41, P(P∣Q)=21, P(Q∣P)=31.
- P(P∩Q)=P(Q∣P)⋅P(P)=31×41=121.
- Also P(P∩Q)=P(P∣Q)⋅P(Q)⇒121=21⋅P(Q)⇒P(Q)=61.
- P(P∪Q)=P(P)+P(Q)−P(P∩Q)=41+61−121=123+122−121=124=31.
- By De Morgan's law, "neither P nor Q applies" is the complement of P∪Q: P(P∩Q)=1−31=32.
- P(Q)=1−P(Q)=1−61=65. …
- AP EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-16-AN1 markMCQQ.Two dice are rolled. If A denote the event that the same number shows on each die and B denote the event that the sum of the numbers on both dice is greater than 7, then P(A∣B) and P(B∣A) respectively are (A) 52,41 (B) 51,21 (C) 51,41 (D) 21,53
›Reveal solutionSolution
Counting the 36 equally likely dice outcomes directly gives P(A∣B)=51 and P(B∣A)=21.
Concept and Intuition
With two fair dice there are 36 equally likely outcomes, so every probability here reduces to simple counting: enumerate the outcomes in A, in B, and in A∩B, then apply the conditional probability formula P(X∣Y)=P(Y)P(X∩Y) directly as a ratio of counts.
Step-by-Step Solution
- A = "same number on each die": outcomes (1,1),(2,2),(3,3),(4,4),(5,5),(6,6) — 6 outcomes, so P(A)=366.
- B = "sum >7", i.e. sum ∈{8,9,10,11,12}. Counting pairs per sum: sum 8 has 5 pairs, 9 has 4, 10 has 3, 11 has 2, 12 has 1 — total 5+4+3+2+1=15 outcomes, so P(B)=3615.
- A∩B: doubles with sum >7 — check each double: (4,4) sum 8 ✓, (5,5) sum 10 ✓, (6,6) sum 12 ✓; (1,1),(2,2),(3,3) have sums 2,4,6, all ≤7 — excluded. So A∩B has 3 outcomes, P(A∩B)=363. …
- AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-26-FN1 markMCQQ.If two events A and B are such that P(Aˉ)=0.3, P(B)=0.4 and P(A∩Bˉ)=0.5, then P(B/(A∪Bˉ))= (A) 0.25 (B) 0.6 (C) 0.45 (D) 0.8
›Reveal solutionSolution
This tests careful set manipulation of conditional probability with a compound conditioning event A∪Bˉ. Answer: 0.25.
Concept and Intuition
Conditional probability P(B∣E)=P(E)P(B∩E) works exactly the same way when E is a compound event like A∪Bˉ — we just need to correctly compute P(E) and P(B∩E) using set algebra (distributing intersection over union, and using the fact that B and Bˉ are disjoint).
Step-by-Step Solution
- From P(Aˉ)=0.3, get P(A)=1−0.3=0.7.
- P(A∩Bˉ)=0.5 is given directly, so P(A∩B)=P(A)−P(A∩Bˉ)=0.7−0.5=0.2.
- Compute P(A∪Bˉ) using inclusion-exclusion: P(A∪Bˉ)=P(A)+P(Bˉ)−P(A∩Bˉ). Here P(Bˉ)=1−0.4=0.6, so P(A∪Bˉ)=0.7+0.6−0.5=0.8. …
- AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-23-AN1 markMCQQ.A die is thrown twice. Let A be the event of getting a prime number when the die is thrown first time and B be the event of getting an even number when the die is thrown second time. Then P(A/Bˉ)= (A) 21 (B) 32 (C) 51 (D) 53
›Reveal solutionSolution
Since A and B (hence Bˉ) come from two independent throws of the die, conditioning on Bˉ does not change P(A); the answer is 1/2.
Concept and Intuition
When two events are determined by physically independent trials (first throw vs second throw of a die), any conditional probability between them collapses to the unconditional probability — conditioning on an independent event changes nothing.
Step-by-Step Solution
- A: prime number on the first throw, i.e. outcome in {2,3,5}, so P(A)=63=21.
- B: even number on the second throw, i.e. outcome in {2,4,6}, so P(B)=21, and P(Bˉ)=21 (odd on the second throw). …
- AP EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-18-AN1 markMCQQ.If A,B are any two events of a random experiment and P(B)=1, then P(A∣Bc)= (A) 1−P(B)P(A)+P(A∩B) (B) 1−P(B)P(A)−P(A∩B) (C) 1+P(B)P(A)+P(A∩B) (D) 1+P(B)P(A)
›Reveal solutionSolution
Direct application of the conditional-probability definition to the complement event gives P(A∣Bc)=1−P(B)P(A)−P(A∩B).
Concept and Intuition
A∩Bc is exactly the part of A that does not overlap with B, so its probability is P(A) minus the overlapping piece P(A∩B). Dividing by P(Bc)=1−P(B) (valid since P(B)=1) gives the conditional probability.
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(A∣Bc)=P(Bc)P(A∩Bc) by definition (needs P(Bc)=0, i.e. P(B)=1, as given).
- A=(A∩B)∪(A∩Bc), a disjoint union, so P(A)=P(A∩B)+P(A∩Bc)⇒P(A∩Bc)=P(A)−P(A∩B).
- P(Bc)=1−P(B). …
- AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-20-FN1 markMCQQ.P(A∣A∩B)+P(B∣A∩B)= (A) 1 (B) P(A∪B) (C) P(A∩B) (D) 2
›Reveal solutionSolution
Both conditional probabilities equal 1 because A∩B is a subset of both A and B, so their sum is 2.
Concept and Intuition
Conditioning an event on its own subset (or superset relationship) often collapses to a probability of exactly 1: if E⊆F, then P(F∣E)=1, since knowing E occurred guarantees F occurred too.
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(A∣A∩B)=P(A∩B)P(A∩(A∩B)).
- Since A∩(A∩B)=A∩B (intersecting with A again changes nothing, as A∩B⊆A), this is P(A∩B)P(A∩B)=1.
- Similarly, P(B∣A∩B)=P(A∩B)P(B∩(A∩B))=P(A∩B)P(A∩B)=1.
- Sum =1+1=2. …
- AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-23-FN1 markMCQQ.It is given that in a random experiment events A and B are such that P(A)=41, P(A∣B)=21 and P(B∣A)=32 then P(B)= (A) 31 (B) 32 (C) 21 (D) 61
›Reveal solutionSolution
Using P(B∣A) to find P(A∩B), then dividing by P(A∣B), gives P(B)=31.
Concept and Intuition
The conditional probability definitions P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B) and P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A∩B) share the common quantity P(A∩B) — computing it from one equation lets us solve the other for the unknown probability.
Step-by-Step Solution
- From P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A∩B)=32, and P(A)=41: P(A∩B)=32×41=61.
- From P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)=21: P(B)=P(A∣B)P(A∩B)=1/21/6=31.
Common Mistakes …
- AP EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-12-AN1 markMCQQ.A bag 'A' contains 2 black and 3 white balls. Another bag 'B' contains 3 black and 2 white balls. Two balls are drawn randomly from 'A' and placed in 'B'. Later, if two balls are drawn randomly from 'B', then the probability of getting a black ball and a white ball from it is (A) 10559 (B) 10546 (C) 21059 (D) 21067
›Reveal solutionSolution
A two-stage random-transfer problem — condition on what got transferred from A to B, then apply the law of total probability.
Concept and Intuition
Since the composition of bag B after the transfer depends on which 2 balls were drawn from A, we must split into the three possible transfer outcomes (BB, BW, WW), compute the probability of each, then the conditional probability of drawing one black and one white ball from the resulting bag B, and combine via the law of total probability.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Bag A has 5 balls (2B, 3W); ways to choose 2: (25)=10.
- P(BB from A)=(22)/(25)=1/10.
- P(BW from A)=(12)(13)/(25)=6/10=3/5.
- P(WW from A)=(23)/(25)=3/10.
- Bag B originally has 3B, 2W (5 balls); after adding 2 balls it has 7 balls, and we want P(1B,1W) drawn from it: (27)=21 ways.
- If BB added: B = 5B, 2W. P(1B,1W)=(15)(12)/21=10/21.
- If BW added: B = 4B, 3W. P(1B,1W)=(14)(13)/21=12/21.
- If WW added: B = 3B, 4W. P(1B,1W)=(13)(14)/21=12/21.
- Total probability: …
- Bag A has 5 balls (2B, 3W); ways to choose 2: (25)=10.
- AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-23-FN1 markMCQQ.Bag A contains 2 white and 3 red balls and bag B contains 4 white and 5 red balls. If one ball is drawn at random from one of the bags and is found to be red, then the probability that it was drawn from the bag B is (A) 5423 (B) 5125 (C) 5225 (D) 5527
›Reveal solutionSolution
A classic Bayes'-theorem problem: given the ball drawn is red, the probability it came from bag B is 5225.
Concept and Intuition
This is Bayes' theorem: we're given the outcome (red ball drawn) and want to find the probability of which "cause" (bag A or B) produced it, using the prior probability of choosing each bag (each 21) and each bag's own probability of yielding red.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Bag A: 2 white, 3 red (5 total) ⇒P(red∣A)=53.
- Bag B: 4 white, 5 red (9 total) ⇒P(red∣B)=95.
- P(A)=P(B)=21 (bag chosen at random).
- Total probability of red: P(red)=P(A)P(red∣A)+P(B)P(red∣B)=21⋅53+21⋅95=103+185.
- Common denominator 90: 103=9027, 185=9025, sum =9052=4526.
- Bayes: P(B∣red)=P(red)P(B)P(red∣B)=26/45(1/2)(5/9)=26/455/18. …
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