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9.3 · Q44

Q.Bag AA contains 3 red and 2 white balls and bag BB contains 2 red and 5 white balls. A bag is selected at random, a ball is drawn and put into the other bag, and then a ball is drawn from that bag. Find the probability that both the balls drawn are of same colour.

Maharashtra MsbshseTextbookSubjectiveImportance★★★★★
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Bag A: 3 red, 2 white (5 total). Bag B: 2 red, 5 white (7 total). Each bag is equally likely to be picked first (prob 1/21/2).

If A is picked first: red transferred (prob 3/53/5) makes B into 3R+5W=8, so second draw from B is red with prob 3/83/8, giving joint 35×38=940\frac{3}{5}\times\frac{3}{8}=\frac{9}{40}. White transferred (prob 2/52/5) makes B into 2R+6W=8, second draw white with prob 3/43/4, giving 25×34=310\frac{2}{5}\times\frac{3}{4}=\frac{3}{10}. So P(same∣start A)=940+310=2140P(\text{same}\mid\text{start A})=\frac{9}{40}+\frac{3}{10}=\frac{21}{40}. …

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