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Miscellaneous 9 - II · Q86

Q.Let AA and BB be independent events with P(A)=14P(A) = \frac{1}{4}, and P(A∪B)=2P(B)−P(A)P(A\cup B) = 2P(B) - P(A). Find a) P(B)P(B); b) P(A/B)P(A/B); and c) P(B′/A)P(B'/A).

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Since A,BA,B independent, P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A)P(B)P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A)P(B). Setting this equal to the given 2P(B)−P(A)2P(B)-P(A): P(A)+P(B)−P(A)P(B)=2P(B)−P(A)⇒2P(A)=P(B)+P(A)P(B)=P(B)[1+P(A)]P(A)+P(B)-P(A)P(B)=2P(B)-P(A) \Rightarrow 2P(A)=P(B)+P(A)P(B)=P(B)[1+P(A)]. With P(A)=1/4P(A)=1/4: P(B)=2(1/4)1+1/4=1/25/4=25P(B)=\dfrac{2(1/4)}{1+1/4}=\dfrac{1/2}{5/4}=\dfrac{2}{5}.

a) P(B)=2/5P(B)=2/5.

b) By independence, P(A/B)=P(A)=1/4P(A/B)=P(A)=1/4. …

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